VYM Dividend Calculator
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF — project dividend income, portfolio value, and yield-on-cost with dividends reinvested (DRIP), shown as a range.
Year-by-year breakdown ›
| Year | Contributed | Value (median) | Div income | Yield on cost |
|---|
Median path shown every fifth year plus your final year. Value and income are the p50 of the low/base/high scenarios; yield-on-cost is the forward dividend run-rate on what you have contributed.
Assumptions & sources ›
| Assumption | Value | Source · asOf |
|---|---|---|
| Starting distribution yield | 2.5% | Vanguard VYM fund page · asOf 2026-06 · observed |
| Dividend-per-share growth | ~6% / yr | Trailing 5-yr per-share CAGR (Digrin) · asOf 2026-06 · assumption you can change |
| Price growth | 5% / yr | Illustrative forward assumption · not a prediction |
| Expense ratio | 0.04% | Vanguard VYM fund page · asOf 2026-06 · drags price growth |
| Scenario band | p5 / median / p95 | Illustrative low/base/high paths — price growth ±3 pts, dividend growth ±2 pts |
Share-based projection: contributions buy shares at the running price, dividends are paid on shares held and (with DRIP on) reinvested at that price, then price and dividend-per-share grow for the next year. Forward growth inputs are assumptions, not forecasts; the band is an illustrative scenario range, not a measured probability distribution.
What VYM actually is
The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF tracks the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index — the half of the U.S. large- and mid-cap market, by count, that pays above-average dividends, weighted by market capitalization. That makes VYM a broad, index-rule fund rather than a hand-picked basket: it holds several hundred names across financials, consumer staples, health care, energy, and industrials, so no single company or sector dominates the payout. It is a plain long-only equity fund. It does not sell covered calls, use leverage, or return capital to manufacture a headline yield, which is why its distribution sits near 2.5% rather than the 8–12% you see on option-income products.
Who tends to reach for it
VYM suits an investor who wants dividend exposure without giving up ownership of the market's upside, and who cares about cost. At a 0.04% expense ratio, the fund keeps almost none of your return — a point worth weighing against income funds charging 0.35% to 0.68%. The trade-off runs the other way on starting yield: VYM pays less today than SCHD or a REIT like Realty Income, and far less than JEPI or SPYI. What you get in exchange is a per-share dividend that has grown at roughly 6% a year and full participation in price appreciation, since none of the upside is capped by written options. It is closer to a total-return holding that happens to yield well than to an income-replacement vehicle.
Why DRIP compounding changes the picture
With reinvestment on, each quarterly distribution buys more shares, and those shares pay their own dividends next quarter — the snowball this calculator projects. The metric to watch is yield-on-cost: the forward dividend run-rate measured against what you actually contributed. Because VYM's per-share payout has grown faster than its price, yield-on-cost drifts upward over a long horizon even though the fund's market yield stays near 2.5%. Toggle DRIP off in the console to see how much of the projected income depends on reinvestment versus fresh contributions. Every figure is shown as a p5 / median / p95 range because the growth rate is an input you can change, not a number anyone can promise.
The tax detail people miss
Most of VYM's distributions are qualified dividends, taxed at long-term capital-gains rates rather than ordinary income — a genuine advantage over the largely non-qualified distributions of covered-call funds. But qualified is not the same as tax-free: in a taxable brokerage account those dividends are a reportable event every year, whether or not you reinvest them, so a DRIP can quietly generate a tax bill on income you never took as cash. Holding VYM inside a Roth or traditional IRA removes that annual drag entirely. This tool models pre-tax figures; treat the taxable-account version as lower, and check your own bracket. None of this is investment or tax advice.
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